1 Three tough choices for eurozone (Ashoka Mody in The Guardian) The eurozone faces three choices: even more austerity for the heavily indebted countries, socialisation of the debt across Europe, or a creative re-profiling of debt, with investors forced to accept losses sooner or later.
Austerity alone cannot do it. Some countries face the growing risk of near-perpetual belt-tightening, which would further dampen growth and thus keep debt ratios high. After all, if a country's debt-GDP ratio is to decline without austerity, the interest rate that it pays on its debt must be lower than its GDP growth rate. If the interest rate is higher than the growth rate, austerity is required; the wider the gap, the more austerity is needed.
Acknowledging the limits of austerity, several initiatives attempt a European resolution. Special European facilities, along with the IMF, lend money at below-market interest rates, which reduces the extent of austerity required. But the facilities' resources are dwindling, and they certainly would not be sufficient if Spain and Italy were to seek support. The ECB's announcement of a new programme to purchase sovereign bonds has lowered market interest rates. But, even with that decline, many countries' long-term interest rates will most likely remain higher than their growth rates for the next several years.
2 Greece unemployment at record 25% (BBC) Unemployment in
Greece hit a record 25.1% in July, with the level among young people reaching
54.2%, according to the latest official figures. Greece's statistical authority
said 1.26 million Greeks were jobless in July, with more than 1,000 jobs lost
every day over the past year. With austerity cuts continuing and Greece likely
to enter another year of recession, the level may rise further. The worst-affected
15-24 age group, however, includes those in education.
3 Think tanks fear German recession (BBC) A group of
leading think tanks in Germany have cut growth forecasts for the country and
warned of recession. The economic institutes said Europe’s biggest economy
would only grow 1% next year instead of the 2% they had been expecting six
months ago. But this assumes that the crisis in the eurozone does not worsen. They
also criticised the European Central Bank's latest initiative to ward off the
crisis, saying its debt purchases risked fuelling inflation.
Last month the ECB unveiled plans to
buy up the government debts of struggling eurozone members, but only if those
governments first signed up to a rescue package, including strict conditions on
cutting their overspending and reforming their economies. "This process
could be triggered by the ECB effectively providing monetary financing for
states," according to the semi-annual report by the four think tanks, Ifo
in Munich, IFW in Kiel, IWH in Halle and RWI in Essen.
"Europe's citizens and players
in the markets may lose trust in the ECB's ability to ensure long-term price stability
as a result. The four also cut their forecast for German growth this year to
0.8% from 0.9% previously. The eurozone's woes, coupled with a general slowdown
in global growth, was hurting business confidence and investment in Germany,
they said.
4 World Bank cuts India forecast (The Wall Street Journal) The World Bank
has lowered its fiscal year economic growth forecast for India to 6.0% due to
infrastructure problems and slow policy reform, and warned of a high risk that
growth could slow further if economic conditions in Europe deteriorate. It had
earlier forecast the economy would expand 6.9% this fiscal year through March."The downside risks to growth in the Indian economy are high because of the risks to global growth from the precarious situation in Europe," the World Bank said. It said factors affecting Indian growth include power shortages, corruption scandals in the mining and telecommunications sectors, and investor uncertainty due to pending legislative proposals.
5 Loving schools was her ‘crime’ (Nicholas D Kristof
in The New York Times) Twice the Taliban threw warning letters into the home of
Malala Yousafzai, a 14-year-old Pakistani girl who is one of the world’s most
persuasive advocates for girls’ education. They told her to stop her advocacy —
or else. She refused to back down, stepped up her campaign and even started a
fund to help impoverished Pakistani girls get an education.
So, on Tuesday, masked gunmen approached her school
bus and asked for her by name. Then they shot her in the head and neck. “Let
this be a lesson,” a spokesman for the Pakistani Taliban, Ehsanullah Ehsan,
said afterward. He added that if she survives, the Taliban would again try to
kill her.
One of my greatest frustrations when I travel to Pakistan is that I
routinely spot extremist madrassas, or schools, financed by medieval
misogynists from Saudi Arabia or elsewhere. They provide meals, free tuition
and sometimes scholarships to lure boys — because their donors understand
perfectly that education shapes countries. In contrast, American aid is mainly
about supporting the Pakistani Army. We have tripled aid to Pakistani education
to $170 million annually, and that’s terrific. But that’s less than one-tenth
of our security aid to Pakistan.
In Malala’s most recent e-mail to a Times colleague,
Adam Ellick, she wrote: “I want an access to the world of knowledge.” The
Taliban clearly understands the transformative power of girls’ education. Do
we?
6 English is dead, long live ‘glocalisation’
(Nathalie Nahai on BBC) When the internet was first conceived, it was to
English-speaking parents. Its nascent language, HTML, was programmed by an
Englishman, Sir Tim Berners-Lee, and the first computers to be shipped across
the world used the Roman alphabet. t was a colonialism of sorts, albeit a predominantly benign
one - an online reality to which we have since become unusually accustomed.
It's become the get-out clause for
those of us too lazy or cash-strapped to consider the end users' needs, whether
they're accessing our site from the co-working space round the corner or from a
start-up business on the other side of the world. In recent years we've
witnessed a loosening of this anglicised grip, with Mandarin and Spanish
thrashing it out as linguistic heavyweights, fiercely contending for the top
spot.
Although the picture is not entirely
representative (many online users claim English as their second language), this
shift from an English-speaking, Western monopoly hints at a future in which
personalised online experiences will become increasingly tailored to cultural
sensitivities.
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