Wednesday, September 5, 2012

India PM in Washington Post's eyes; ILO sees youth unemployment rising; Australia growth slows


1 India PM in Washington Post’s eyes (Simon Denyer in The Washington Post)  India’s Prime Minister Manmohan Singh helped set his country on the path to modernity, prosperity and power, but critics say the shy, soft-spoken 79-year-old is in danger of going down in history as a failure. The architect of India’s economic reforms, Singh was a major force behind his country’s rapprochement with the US and is a respected figure on the world stage. But the image of the scrupulously honorable, humble and intellectual technocrat has slowly given way to a completely different one: a dithering, ineffectual bureaucrat presiding over a deeply corrupt government.

The story of Singh’s dramatic fall from grace in his second term in office and the slow but steady tarnishing of his reputation have played out in parallel with his country’s decline on his watch. As India’s economy has slowed and as its reputation for rampant corruption has reasserted itself, the idea that the country was on an inexorable road to becoming a global power has increasingly come into question. “More and more, he has become a tragic figure in our history,” said political historian Ramachandra Guha, describing a man fatally handicapped by his “timidity, complacency and intellectual dishonesty.”

Singh finally did open his mouth last week, to rebut criticism from the government auditor that the national treasury had been cheated of billions of dollars after coal-mining concessions were granted to private companies for a pittance — including during a five-year period when Singh doubled as coal minister. “It has been my general practice not to respond to motivated criticism directed personally at me,” he said. “My general attitude has been, ‘My silence is better than a thousand answers; it keeps intact the honor of innumerable questions.’ ”

“I’m a small person put in this big chair,” Singh told broadcaster Charlie Rose in 2006. “I have to do my duty, whatever task is allotted of me.” From the start, it was clear that the ruling United Progressive Alliance chairperson Sonia Gandhi held the real reins of power. The Gandhi family has ruled India for most of its post-independence history and enjoys an almost cult-like status within the Congress party. Sonia’s word was destined to remain law.

“His gut instincts are very good, but sometimes he suffers from doubts about the political feasibility, about getting things done,” said Jagdish N. Bhagwati, a Columbia University professor who has been friends with Singh since their Cambridge days. Singh will go down in history as India’s first Sikh prime minister and the country’s third-longest-serving premier, but also as someone who did not know when to retire, Guha said.

“He is obviously tired, listless, without energy,” he said. “At his time of life, it is not as though he is going to get a new burst of energy. Things are horribly out of control and can only get worse for him, for his party and for his government.”

(Asian Age reports that Information and Broadcasting Minister Ambika Soni termed as unfortunate the Washington Post report that has described Manmohan Singh as a silent Prime Minister, saying the government will seek an apology from the editor and publisher of the US daily.)

2  ILO sees youth unemployment rising (Khaleej Times) Global unemployment among young people is likely to rise over the next five years, according to a new report from the International Labour Organization (ILO). The ILO said jobless rates among people under 25 worldwide are expected to inch up to 12.9% by 2017, up by 0.2% points from forecasts for this year, but youth in developing countries will be worst affected.

 The highest youth unemployment ILO predicted for the Middle East region, where the jobless rate among young people would jump from 26.4% currently to 28.4% in 2017. In the Southeast Asia and Pacific region, ILO forecast the rate to rise from 13.1 to 14.2% over the next five years

3 Australia growth slows (BBC) Australia's economic growth rate slowed in the second quarter amid a drop global demand for its resources and lacklustre domestic consumption. Growth was 3.7% in the April to June period, from a year earlier. That is down from 4.3% annual growth in the same period last year.

There are fears that Australia's growth may slow further as demand for its resources slows. "We are moving into a fairly risky phase of the Australian economy with the mining sector looking a bit ragged," said Shane Oliver, chief economist at AMP Capital Investors. Australia's mining sector has been one of the biggest drivers of its growth in recent years.

Slowing growth in key markets such as China and India has hurt demand for Australia's resources and impacted the sector's growth. To make matters worse, prices of commodities such as iron ore have also fallen in recent months, hurting mine companies' profits. That has forced some companies to put their expansion plans on hold, hurting investment in the economy.

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