Monday, November 17, 2014

What Japan's recession means for the world; Facebook mulls free internet for Africa; 18,000 terrorism deaths in a year

1 What Japan’s recession means for the world (BBC) In a surprise, Japan said its economy, the world's 3rd-biggest following the US and China, contracted 1.6 percent at an annual pace in the July-September quarter as consumer and corporate spending failed to regain momentum after a sales tax increase in April.

Here are some implications for the global economy and for Japan: The slump comes as China's growth is slowing and Europe's economy is limping along. It could drag on Asia's growth if Japanese businesses hold back on investing abroad and companies and consumers buy fewer imports. The drop also adds to uncertainties in world financial markets.

Prime Minister Shinzo Abe will likely delay another sales tax hike planned for October 2015, and use that decision and the bad GDP numbers as reasons to call snap elections, possibly as early as next month, to seek a public mandate on this course of action.

Japan's population is shrinking and aging, creating a smaller domestic market and placing heavier tax burdens on younger wage-earners. Apart from its automakers, Japan's many manufacturers have lost their innovative edge and have been shifting production offshore. Household incomes peaked more than a decade ago, and a growing share of workers struggle to make ends meet on part-time, contract work.

Abe has promised drastic reforms of labor regulations, the tax system and the health industry, among other areas, to help improve Japan's competitiveness. But so far he's made little headway, while most companies have not passed on windfall gains from stock price increases and surging profits to their workers in the form of higher wages.


2 Facebook mulls free internet for Africa (Christopher Williams in Telegraph/Johannesburg Times) Facebook is in an advanced stage of talks with UK satellite operator Avanti about a ground-breaking project that would provide free internet access across swathes of Africa. Facebook founder Mark Zuckerberg says he is determined to connect the developing world.

It is expected that a deal between Avanti and the social network, under the auspices of its internet.org initiative, will be announced soon. Internet.org aims "to bring the internet to the two-thirds of the world's population that doesn't have it". Avanti, which owns two broadband satellites positioned over Africa, plans to launch two more in the next three years to increase capacity and coverage.

According to internet.org, if developing economies had the standard of internet access enjoyed in rich countries global productivity would be boosted by 25% and 160million people would be lifted out of poverty. Facebook turned to the British company after an appeal to network operators to help spread internet access received a cool reception.

The Avanti solution is also likely to be quicker to set up and more reliable than some of the more exotic and experimental technologies in development. Google, for instance, is working on Project Loon, which involves high-altitude balloons. Facebook itself is testing solar-powered drones but has said they will not be ready for deployment for years. Facebook and Avanti declined to comment.


3 Terrorism took 18,000 lives last year (Ewen MacAskill in The Guardian) Terrorism is on the rise, with an almost fivefold increase in fatalities since 9/11, in spite of US-led efforts to combat it in the Middle East and elsewhere around the world, according to a report.

The Global Terrorism Index recorded almost 18,000 deaths last year, a jump of about 60% over the previous year. Four groups were responsible for most of them: Islamic State (Isis) in Iraq and Syria; Boko Haram in Nigeria; the Taliban in Afghanistan; and al-Qaida in various parts of the world.

The terrorism index raises questions about the effectiveness of a western counter-terrorism strategy since 9/11 that has seen US-led invasions of Iraq and Afghanistan, drone strikes in Pakistan and Yemen and the use of proxy forces around the world. According to the index figures, the number of fatalities has steadily grown over the last 14 years, from 3,361 in 2000 to 11,133 in 2012 and 17,958 in 2013.

Supporters of the US strategy can find solace in a decrease in the four years from 2007, which could be attributed to the US troop surge in Iraq. The next steep rise began in 2011 as a result of the Syrian civil war, which was born out of the Arab spring rather than US-led action. But the emergence of Isis can be attributed directly to the US invasion of Iraq. Its genesis can be traced to the insurgency against the US forces. It grew from al-Qaida in Iraq.

Steve Killelea, executive director of the Institute for Economics and Peace, an independent thinktank with offices in Sydney, New York and Oxford, said there had been a “significant and worrying increase in worldwide terrorism” over the last two years. He did not have the figures for this year yet but “my gut instinct is that it will be worse. I think we will see an increase.”

The report says that the two most successful strategies for ending terrorist groups since the late 1960s have been policing and the initiation of a political process. “These strategies were the main reason for the ending of more than 80% of terrorist organisations that ceased operation. “ The report says that there were 437,000 murders in 2012 compared to 11,113 terrorist deaths.

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