Tuesday, August 6, 2013

US trade gap smallest since 2009; Pakistan's existential fight; Asia slowdown hits UK banks; Why India has a sand mafia

1 US trade gap smallest since 2009 (BBC) The US trade deficit fell by 22.4% to $34.2bn in June, the smallest gap since October 2009. The percentage contraction was also the largest since February 2009. The three-month average of the trade deficit, which irons out monthly volatility, also fell to $39.5bn in the three months to June from $40.5bn in the previous period.
Meanwhile, May's trade shortfall was revised to $44.1bn from the previously reported $45.0bn. The smaller June deficit could lead the government to revise economic growth for the April-to-June quarter up from its initial estimated annual rate of 1.7%. In June, imports of goods and services fell by 2.5% to $225.4bn, mainly because of large declines in petrol imports and of industrial supplies and materials.
Exports of goods and services increased 2.2% to a record $191.2bn. Of those, exports to the 27-nation European Union rose by 1.5%, while exports to China increased by 4.5% in June.
2 Pakistan’s existential fight (Jonathan Power in Khaleej Times) Pakistan has no choice but to exterminate the militants. There is an “in” political word “blowback”. Pakistan certainly has it. We can also call it “the chickens coming home to roost” or the “sins of the fathers visited upon the children”. The question is can the new Prime Minister, Nawaz Sharif, do anything about it? His predecessor wasn’t able to do much and neither could the military government of General Pervez Musharraf, which preceded him. Now we have to see if Sharif can find a solution. If he fails Pakistan might rip itself apart.
“Blowback” is happening because the shots are increasingly being called in political life by the extremist Islamist fighting units that the now threatened Pakistan political establishment itself created. Going way back to soon after the nation was born in 1947 when it split off from India to form an independent Muslim country the military’s Inter Service Intelligence agency has funded and supplied the jihadists to do what the army could not do more publicly.

The targets remain the same: first Kashmir and later Afghanistan. In Kashmir the objective has been to wrest the Muslim-dominated province out of the hands of India. In Afghanistan the initial purpose was to aid the Taleban take over after the withdrawal of the Soviet occupation forces in 1989. Today, as the US and Nato troops prepare to leave, the militants are geared to supporting the Taleban to gain control of the country once again.

The militants are prepared to go to any length to fulfill their aims and after becoming more financially and militarily independent act increasingly without the backing of the ISI. Sharif will have to fight not just for the soul of Pakistan, but for its very being as a unitary state.

3 Asia slowdown hits UK banks (Max Colchester in The Wall Street Journal) Asia's economic slowdown is threatening to bring two of Europe's highest-flying banks back down to earth.

Standard Chartered PLC said net profit fell 24% in the first half of the year, as weakening growth in Asian markets and a $1 billion write-down at its South Korean business put a brake on earnings. The announcement came after HSBC Holdings PLC's said underlying profit before tax stagnated at its Asia-Pacific unit, which excludes Hong Kong, and warned it was bracing for slower growth in China.

4 Why India has a sand mafia (Joanna Sugden in The Wall Street Journal) Illegal sand mining in India is something of an open secret but it has been brought under the scanner in recent days after a civil servant named Durga Shakti Nagpal was suspended from her post late last month. Ms. Nagpal had gained attention from the Indian media for her efforts to clamp down on the practice in the northern state of Uttar Pradesh.

The sand-hungry construction industry uses the material to mix with concrete and for making bricks. Almost all of this mining is happening without licenses because the demand is unbridled and the regulatory consequences are minimal. The environmental consequences of such mining, though, can be serious. These can include increased flooding as miners cart away the sand holding back river waters.

The Supreme Court in February 2011 ruled that “sand mining on either side of rivers instream or upstream is one of the causes of environmental degradation and also a threat to biodiversity.” But it still happens. Construction contributed 8.9% to India’s gross domestic product in 2009, up from 7.4% in 2005. According to the Planning Commission, investment in infrastructure needs to increase to 10% of GDP by the fiscal year ending March 31, 2017, from 8% five years earlier, if India is to continue to grow.

Sand is considered a “minor mineral” under Indian law, unlike coal, diamonds or gold which are classed as major minerals.  The extraction of minor minerals is governed by state rather than federal laws. The state governments have the power to make rules preventing illegal mining, and regulating the transportation and storage of minerals like sand.  These can include putting in posts for checking minerals in transit and weighing the quantity being transported. The punishment for mining sand without permission is imprisonment for up to two years or a fine of up to 25,000 rupees (about $410), or both.

According to Debi Goenka, of the Conservation Action Trust, even when miners get permission to extract a certain amount of sand, they often take around 100 times more than they are permitted. The problem with trying to halt illegal sand-mining is that there aren’t many substitutes for sand in construction. One possibility is to use crushed construction debris, said Mr. Goenka, a practice that is starting to be adopted in the US and Canada, but that is not yet commonplace because separating out what’s usable from what’s not, is a complex process. “The trick is to find an enviromentally-friendly subsitute for sand,” he said. Until then, expect illegal sand mining in India to continue.

No comments:

Post a Comment