Thursday, April 2, 2015

Weep for low UK productivity; Challenges ahead for new Nigeria leader; Why failure isn't a dirty word

1 Weep for low UK productivity (Robert Peston on BBC) Lower productivity undermines the competitiveness of British firms in the global economy. And the absence of productivity growth undermines the ability of British firms to increase our pay.

On the basis of the figures published this week, if the productivity trends of 1992 to 2007 had continued from 2008 to the end of last year, output per job would be 15% higher than it is, and output her hour would be 17% higher. Which means, all other things being equal, each employee would be paid 15% more in total, and 17% more for each standard shift put in.

Just think and weep over how much richer we all would have been if our productivity had not been so hopeless. Which is why it matters that in the last three months of 2014 there was no recovery in productivity. In fact output per hour fell by 0.2% - because the number of hours worked rose 0.8% while gross value added, or the output of the economy, increased by just 0.6%.

Why has productivity been so limp? There are plenty of competing explanations, which include: a. Productivity growth before the crash was exaggerated by the spurious productivity of banks and City firms that were taking crazy economy-imperilling risks; and b. Since the crash, too many lame duck firms have been kept afloat, under pressure from politicians, preventing the necessary re-allocation of capital from low-productivity firms to better ones.

Getting to the root of the problem matters. Because unless we can improve productivity, we won't be able to afford the living standards we feel we deserve. Without a recovery in productivity and an associated boost to earnings, tax revenues would remain under pressure, making it all the harder to get the Government's huge deficit down to a more affordable level.


2 Challenges ahead for new Nigeria leader (San Francisco Chronicle) As Nigerians celebrated the electrifying victory that returned one of its harshest former dictators to power, sobering challenges confront Muhammadu Buhari, from an Islamic insurgency that has killed thousands to widespread poverty and graft.

The 72-year-old Buhari made history as the first opposition party candidate to win elections in Africa's most populous nation, ending President Goodluck Jonathan's bid for another term. For a former general who three decades ago led Nigeria following a coup, it was an amazing transformation to a democratically elected president.

Fresh from his victory, Buhari warned the country's brutal Boko Haram insurgents that he would be coming after them. The bespectacled president-elect also warned that corruption would not be tolerated after he takes office on May 29.

Boko Haram, whose barbarous campaign to establish an Islamic "caliphate" has driven 1.5 million from their homes, kidnapped hundreds of schoolgirls and left large swathes of northern Nigeria burned to ashes, has in recent weeks been hit hard by forces from Nigeria and neighboring Chad, Cameroon and Niger.

Because of decades of military rule this was only the eighth election since Nigeria won independence from Britain in 1960, and the fifth since democracy was restored in 1999.


3 Why failure isn’t a dirty word (Victoria Joy in The Guardian) When JK Rowling delivered the 2008 Harvard commencement speech about failure, her audience consisted of hundreds of students, their families and the university’s faculty. But the impact of her words that day have since reached far wider.

The struggling single mother was all but homeless when a publisher finally took a punt on Harry Potter and it was this journey that inspired her speech: not the difficult situation she found herself in, but how failure can actually be a positive experience. “I’m not going to stand here and tell you that failure is fun ... [but] I was set free, because my greatest fear had been realised, and I was still alive,’’ Rowling explained from the podium.

“The thing about failing is that we have to do it,” explains psychologist Marisa Peer. “The only way we can learn anything at all is by failing, because once you do something wrong or something doesn’t work out, you’ll take action not to do it again. If you were overlooked for a role because you didn’t speak up enough, then you sure as hell will make your voice heard going forward.’

The key to overcoming failure, according to Peer, is not in how you deal with the disappointment but how quickly you write it off as experience and get back on track. If the worst thing about failure is the negative judgment that often comes with it, learning to deal with criticism can be a game-changer. “Answer criticism by thanking the speaker for their input. You’re acknowledging their words as an opinion, and more importantly, one that you’re not going to let in. They’ll think twice about speaking up next time.”

There’s also something to be said for speaking up about your own failures. “Keeping something under wraps feeds your sense of shame. Be open and the failure becomes part of your character, something that others can respect,’’ advises Peer. As Rowling concluded so beautifully: “It is impossible to live without failing at something, unless you live so cautiously that you might as well not have lived at all – in which case, you fail by default.’’


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